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China
Needs a Vigorous Income Policy
By
Henry C.K. Liu
In his opening speech at the 18th National Congress of the
Communist Party of China (CPC) on November 8, 2012, retiring General
Secretary
Hu Jintao, representing the Secretariat of the 17th Party Congress held
five
years earlier, summed up the achievements of his two five-year terms as
paramount leader, and set for his successor, Xi Jinping, among other
goals, a
target of doubling income for all Chinese workers by 2020, 8 years
hence.
While it is encouraging that the CPC's newly installed
fourth-generation
leadership is formally bound to a proactive national income policy of
raising
worker wages, the timid pace of that commitment is disappointing. Wages
in China
are currently about one fifth of wages in the US.
Doubling Chinese wages by 2020 would mean that Chinese wages would
still be
four times lower than those in the US, even assuming that US wages do
not rise
during that period, which is highly unlikely, given that progressive
political
sentiment in the US has been on the rise since the global financial
crisis
started in New York in mid 2007.
The labor union movement in the US, after courageous
struggle, has managed to make wages in union contracts indexed to
inflation in
recent decades, causing wages to rise at the same pace as officially
recognized
inflation to keep wage earners from losing real purchasing power,
albeit the
stickiness of wages is still a deterrent to full value indexation.
The wage/inflation indexation is structurally only a game in
futility to keep wage earners running in place on a wage/inflation
treadmill to
give them the illusion of catching up in the financial game in life in
an
inherently anti-labor capitalist society, while in fact wage earners
are
actually falling steadily behind in uneven inflation. Wages indexed to
official
inflation indices are distorted by the official definition of wage
increases as
a prime cause of inflation while the official definition of asset price
appreciation is economic growth rather than inflation. Thus the
distributional
effect of economic growth is structurally set against wage earners. The
more
the economy grows, the smaller is the wage earners' collective share of
the
benefits from growth, while in absolute terms, wage earners are getting
higher
wages supposedly to keep pace with inflation.
The most egregious flaw of capitalism, both industrial and
financial, is their efficient performance inherently produces extreme
inequality as an operational outcome. Continuous capital formation, the
seed of
capitalistic growth, and maximum return of capital, the driver of
capitalistic
growth, both require distributional inequality of income and wealth,
that if
unchecked by government regulations, will lead to social instability.
For a capitalistic economy to function optimally, worker
wages must lag behind inflation structurally to keep profit ahead of
inflation.
Capitalist profit is inversely related to cost, the most flexible of
which
tends to be wages. This fact is made obscured by allowing employed wage
earners
access to easy credit through their friendly neighborhood mortgage
broker on
home mortgages supposedly collateralized by their wage income. As wages
stagnated, home mortgages were left to be collateralized by an
expanding home
price bubble sustained by central bank loose monetary policy.
Low wages were also compensated by giving wage earners easy
access to consumer loans at exorbitant interest rates from credit card
issuing
banks. Outstanding credit card debt at 18% interest rate compounded and
minimum
payment of only 2% of outstanding debt essentially doubles the purchase
cost to card card
holders
if the debt is kept outstanding for just five years. Many credit card
holders
routinely owe the maximum allowable outstanding debt balance
perpetually,
essentially reducing their real purchasing power by half through
exorbitant
interest payments.
With the securitization of debt, the home mortgages issuers
did not care if these low-wage sub-prime borrowers should default on
their high
mortgages secured by the home price bubble because such mortgage debts
would be
packaged as mortgage-backed securities and sold the very next day to
faceless
investors worldwide lured by high yields with low-cost default
insurance. In
this scheme of debt securitization, sub-prime mortgages were not
recorded on
the balance sheet of the lending banks to cause them to maintain high
reserves
for bad loans, or to increase capital requirement that would have
direct
adverse effect on bank profits.
Aside from homes mortgages, credit card issuers also
packaged installment-payment loans as collateralized debt obligation
(CDO)
securities backed by consumer credit installment payments or credit
card
billing payments that are sold to investors in global credit markets.
Structured finance involves a bundle of mortgage debt being
structured into a vertical stack of mortgage-backed securities with
progressive
levels of risk designed to be sold to a range of investors with varying
risk
appetite for compensatory yields.
When a particular debt instrument can be structured for sale
not as a integral instrument with the good and the bad being
inseparable, but
as a range of trenches of graduated risk levels tied to compensatory
yields and
sold to investors with varying risk appetite for compensatory yields in
a
global credit market, more financial value can be squeezed out from the
debt.
As a result, interconnected structured finance markets around the world
grew
explosively like mushrooms in a rain forest.
Safety from counter-party default in such structured debt
instruments was insured with credit default swaps (CDS) at low risk
premium
that essentially translated into a market-wide under-pricing of risk
through
transfer of unit risk to systemic risk.
From a macro systemic perspective, when unit risk is
transferred to systemic risks, while relieving the obligation of the
risk-taking unit, the transferred risk cannot be mistaken as risk
removed from
the credit system. The risk stays in the credit system with a new
profile that
includes the cost of the transfer from unit to system.
A special purpose vehicle (SPV) is a legal entity created to
fulfill narrow, limited, specific and temporary objectives. SPVs are
typically
used by a company to isolate itself from financial risk associated with
a
particular financial exposure. They are also commonly used to hide debt
obligation
with the purpose of inflating profits; to hide ownership of a risk
exposure, or
to obscure legal relationships between different entities which are in
fact
related to each other. SPVs were abusively used by Eron to build its
profit
house of cards.
Normally a
company will transfer assets to a SPV as a tactic of risk management,
or use a
SPV to handle the finance a large project thereby achieving a narrow
set of financial/business
goals without putting the entire company at risk. SPVs are also
commonly used
in complex financing to separate different layers of equity infusion.
Commonly
created and registered in tax havens, SPV's allow tax avoidance
strategies
unavailable in the home district. Round-tripping is one such strategy.
In
addition, SPVs are commonly used to own a single asset and associated
permits
and contract rights (such as an apartment building or a power plant),
to allow
for easier transfer of that asset. They are an integral part of
public/private
partnerships common throughout Europe which rely on a project finance
type
structure.
A SPV may be
owned by one or more other entities and certain jurisdictions may have
regulation requiring ownership by certain parties in specific
percentages. Often
it is important that the SPV not be owned by the entity on whose behalf
the SPV
is being set up (the sponsor). For example, in the context of a loan
securitization,
if the SPV securitisation vehicle were owned or controlled by the bank
whose
loans were to be secured, the SPV would be consolidated with the rest
of the
bank's group for regulatory, accounting, and bankruptcy purposes, which
would defeat
the point of the securitization. Therefore some SPVs are set up as
'orphan' companies
with their shares settled on charitable trust and with professional
directors
provided by an administration company to ensure that there is no legal
connection
with the sponsor.
An orphan
structure is a company whose shares are held by a trustee on a
non-charitable
purpose trust. The company is said to be an "orphan" as it is not
beneficially owned by anyone. Orphan structures are usually used in
offshore
structures to ensure that the assets and liabilities of the subject
company are
treated as "off-balance-sheet" with respect to the sponsor of the
structure. Other reasons for creating an orphan structure are to avoid
or
minimize regulation which might otherwise apply to a structure, and to
ensure
that the company is "bankruptcy remote" from companies in the same
group as the sponsor. Orphan structures
are relatively common features of securitization vehicles, where the
asset
backed bonds are issued by the orphan company.
Off-balance-sheet loans issued through SPVs relieved the
issuing institution from default risk, but the risk stayed in the
credit market
system. Since such loans were off balance sheet, the issuing bank could
issue
much more debt than if the loans were on balance sheet as long as the
debt
securities can attract buyers in the debt market. The result is a
credit
market with systemic risk bubble. When
enough unit risks are transferred to systemic risks, the credit system
can be
overloaded with serious under-pricing of risk coupled with insufficient
loan
reserves, leading to systemic credit market failure when the debt
bubble burst
through the risk interconnectedness of financial
derivatives.
On November 25,
2008, not waiting until 2009 as previously announced, the Federal
Reserve (Fed)
and the US Treasury moved up the launch of the Troubled Assets Relief
Program (TALF) “to support the issuance of
asset-backed securities (ABS) collateralized by student loans, auto
loans,
credit card loans, and loans guaranteed by the Small Business
Administration
(SBA).”
The on-going
record of the ineffectiveness of TALF would give some idea of what the
European
Central Bank (ECB) would face since it was pushed to take similar
measures by
US Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner in 2011, even though TALF was
designed to
deal with commercial and consumer debt while the ECB was facing a
crisis of
sovereign debt.
TARP allows the U
S Department of the Treasury to purchase or insure up to $700 billion
of
"troubled assets," defined as
(A)
residential or commercial mortgages and any securities, obligations, or
other
instruments that are based on or related to such mortgages, that in
each case
was originated or issued on or before March 14, 2008, the purchase of
which the
Secretary determines promotes financial market stability; and
(B) any other
financial instrument that the Secretary, after consultation with the
Chairman
of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, determines the
purchase of which is necessary to promote financial market stability,
but only
upon transmittal of such determination, in writing, to the appropriate
committees of Congress.
In short, TARP
allows the Treasury to purchase illiquid, difficult-to-value assets
from banks
and other financial institutions. The targeted assets can be
collateralized
debt obligations, which were sold in a booming market until 2007, when
they
were hit by widespread foreclosures on the underlying loans.
TARP is intended
to improve the liquidity of these assets by the Treasury purchasing
them using
secondary market mechanisms, thus allowing participating institutions
to
stabilize their balance sheets and avoid further losses.
The Emergency
Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 (EESA) requires financial
institutions
selling assets to TARP to issue equity warrants (a type of security
that
entitles its holder to purchase shares in the company issuing the
security for
a specific price), or equity or senior debt securities (for
non-publicly listed
companies) to the Treasury. In the case of warrants, the Treasury will
only
receive warrants for non-voting shares, or will agree not to vote the
stock.
This measure is designed to protect taxpayers by giving the Treasury
the
possibility of profiting through its new ownership stakes in these
institutions. Ideally, if the financial institutions benefit from
government
assistance and recover their normal financial strength, the government
will also
be able to profit from their financial recovery.
Another important
goal of TARP is to encourage banks to resume lending again at levels
seen
before the crisis, both to each other and to consumers and businesses.
If TARP
can stabilize bank capital ratios, it should theoretically allow them
to
increase lending instead of hoarding cash to cushion against future
unforeseen
losses from troubled assets. Increased lending equates to "loosening"
of credit, which the government hopes will restore order to the
financial
markets and improve investor confidence in financial institutions and
the
markets. As banks gain increased lending confidence, the interbank
lending
interest rates (the rates at which the banks lend to each other on a
short term
basis) should decrease, further facilitating lending.
TARP will operate
as a "revolving purchase facility." The Treasury will have a set
spending limit, $250 billion at the start of the program, with which it
will
purchase the assets and then either sell them or hold the assets and
collect
the coupons. The money received from sales and coupons will go back
into the
pool, facilitating the purchase of more assets. The initial $250
billion can be
increased to $350 billion upon the President's certification to
Congress that
such an increase is necessary. The remaining $350 billion may be
released to
the Treasury upon a written report to Congress from the Treasury with
details
of its plan for the money. Congress then has 15 days to vote to
disapprove the
increase before the money will be automatically released. The first
$350
billion was released on October 3, 2008, and Congress voted to approve
the
release of the second $350 billion on January 15, 2009. One way that
TARP money
is being spent is to support the "Making Homes Affordable" plan,
which was implemented on March 4, 2009, using TARP money by the
Department of
Treasury. Because "at risk" mortgages are defined as "troubled
assets" under TARP, the Treasury has the power to implement the plan.
Generally, it provides refinancing for mortgages held by Fannie Mae or
Freddie
Mac. Privately held mortgages will be eligible for other incentives,
including
a favorable loan modification for five years.
The authority of
the US Department of the Treasury to establish and manage TARP under a
newly
created Office of Financial Stability became law October 3, 2008, the
result of
an initial proposal that ultimately was passed by Congress as H.R.
1424,
enacting the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 and several
other
acts.
The Fed announced in 2008 that under
TALF, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (NY Fed) would lent up to $1
trillion (originally planned to be $200 billion) on a non-recourse
basis to
holders of certain AAA-rated ABS backed by newly and recently
originated
consumer and small business loans. As TALF money did not originate from
the
Treasury, the program did not require congressional approval to
disburse funds,
but a new act of Congress forced the Fed to reveal how it actually
spent the
money.
The Fed explained the reasoning
behind the TALF as follows:
“New issuance of ABS
declined
precipitously in September and came to a halt in October. At the same
time,
interest rate spreads on AAA-rated tranches of ABS soared to levels
well
outside the range of historical experience, reflecting unusually high
risk
premiums. The ABS markets historically have funded a substantial share
of
consumer credit and SBA-guaranteed small business loans. Continued
disruption
of these markets could significantly limit the availability of credit
to
households and small businesses and thereby contribute to further
weakening of
U.S. economic activity. The TALF is designed to increase credit
availability
and support economic activity by facilitating renewed issuance of
consumer and
small business ABS at more normal interest rate spreads”
According to the plan, the NY Fed
would spend up to $200 billion in loans to spur the market in
securities backed
by payments from loans to small business and consumers. Yet, the
program closed
after only funding the purchase of $43 billion in distress loans.
Under TALF, the Fed lent $1 trillion
to banks and hedge funds at nearly interest-free rates. Because the
money came
from the Fed and not the Treasury, there was no congressional oversight
of how
the funds were disbursed, until an act of Congress forced the Fed to
open its
books. Congressional staffers then examined more than 21,000
transactions. One
study estimated that the subsidy rate on the TALF’s $12.1 billion of
loans to
buy Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) was 34 percent.
TARP allows the Treasury to purchase
illiquid, difficult-to-value assets at full face value from banks and
other
financial institutions. The targeted assets can be collateralized debt
obligations (CDO), which were sold in a booming market until July 2007,
when
they were hit by widespread foreclosures on the underlying loans.
TARP is intended to restore
liquidity of these assets in a failed market with no other buyers, by
purchasing them using secondary market mechanisms, thus allowing
participating
institutions to stabilize their balance sheets and avoid further
losses.
TARP does not allow banks to recoup
losses already incurred on troubled assets, but Treasury officials
expect that
once trading of these assets resumes, their prices will stabilize and
ultimately increase in value, resulting in gains to both participating
banks
and the Treasury itself. The concept of future gains from troubled
assets comes
from the hypothesis in the financial industry that these assets are
oversold,
as only a small percentage of all mortgages are in default, while the
relative
fall in prices represents losses from a much higher default rate. Yet
the low
default rate was not produced by economic conditions, but by the Fed’s
financial manipulation. Thus the banks are saved, but not the economy
as a
whole, which ultimately still has to pay off the undistinguished debt.
The Emergency Economic Stabilization
Act of 2008 (EESA) requires financial institutions selling assets to
TARP to
issue equity warrants (a type of security that entitles, but without
the
obligation, its holder to purchase shares in the company issuing the
security
for a specific price), or equity or senior debt securities (for
non-publicly
listed companies) to the Treasury. In the case of warrants, the
Treasury will
only receive warrants for non-voting shares, or will agree not to vote
the
stock.
This measure is supposedly designed
to protect taxpayers by giving the Treasury the possibility of
profiting
through its new ownership stakes in these institutions. Ideally, if the
financial institutions benefit from government assistance and recover
their
former strength, the government will also be able to profit from their
recovery.
Another important goal of TARP is to
encourage banks to resume lending again at levels seen before the
crisis, both
to each other and to consumers and businesses. If TARP can stabilize
bank
capital ratios, it should theoretically allow them to increase lending
instead
of hoarding cash to cushion against future unforeseen losses from
troubled
assets.
The Fed argues that increased
lending equates to “loosening” of credit, which the government hopes
will
restore order to the financial markets and improve investor confidence
in
financial institutions and the markets. As banks gain increased lending
confidence, the interbank lending interest rates (the rates at which
the banks
lend to each other on a short term basis) should decrease, further
facilitating
lending. So far, this goal has not been achieved as bank merely used
TARP money
to deleverage rather than increase lending.
TARP will operate as a “revolving purchase
facility”. The Treasury will have a set spending limit, $250 billion at
the
start of the program, with which it will purchase the assets and then
either
sell them or hold the assets and collect the “coupons”. The money
received from
sales and coupons will go back into the pool, facilitating the purchase
of more
assets.
The initial $250 billion can be
increased to $350 billion upon the president's certification to
Congress that
such an increase is necessary. The remaining $350 billion may be
released to
the Treasury upon a written report to Congress from the Treasury with
details
of its plan for the money. Congress then has 15 days to vote to
disapprove the
increase before the money will be automatically released. The first
$350
billion was released on October 3, 2008, and Congress voted to approve
the
release of the second $350 billion on January 15, 2009.
One way that TARP money is being
spent is to support the “Making Homes Affordable” plan, which was
implemented
on March 4, 2009, using TARP money by the Treasury. Because “at risk”
mortgages
are defined as “troubled assets” under TARP, the Treasury has the power
to
implement the plan. Generally, it provides refinancing for mortgages
held by
Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Privately held mortgages will be eligible
for other
incentives, including a favorable loan modification for five years.
The authority of the Treasury to
establish and manage TARP under a newly created Office of Financial
Stability
(OFS) became law October 3, 2008, the result of an initial proposal
that
ultimately was passed by Congress as H.R. 1424, enacting the Emergency
Economic
Stabilization Act of 2008 and several other related acts.
Collateral assets accepted by TARP
include dollar-denominated cash ABS with a long-term credit rating in
the
highest investment-grade rating category from two or more major
“nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations (NRSROs)” and do not have a
long-term credit rating below the highest investment-grade rating
category from
a major NRSRO. Synthetic ABS (credit-default swaps on ABS) do not
qualify as
eligible collateral. The program was launched on March 3, 2009.
Special Purpose Vehicle –
Financial Neutron Bomb
TALF money was designed not to go
directly to targeted small businesses and consumers, but to the
institutional
issuers of asset-backed securities (ABS). The NY Fed would take the
securities
as collateral for more loans to the issuers of ABS. To manage the TALF
loans,
the NY Fed created a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) that would buy the
assets
securing the TALF loans. The function of a SPV is to isolate risk from
the
creator, in this case the NY Fed, as a device to hide debt from the
balance
sheet of the creator. In the case of TALF, the SPV creator is
ultimately the NY
Fed's parent, the Federal Reserve, the nation’s lender of last resort
to banks.
SPVs are financial neutron bombs,
used in war to kill enemy population without causing damage to physical
assets,
thus saving reconstruction time and cost in captured enemy territories.
A
neutron bomb is a fission-fusion thermonuclear weapon (hydrogen bomb)
in which
the burst of neutrons generated by a fusion reaction is intentionally
allowed
to escape from the weapon, rather than being absorbed by its containing
components. The weapon’s X-ray mirrors and radiation case, normally
made of
uranium or lead in a standard bomb, are instead made of chromium or
nickel so
that the neutrons can escape to kill enemy troops and civilians,
leaving empty
undamaged cities for occupation by the winner in a battle.
The Fed's plan for eventual wind-down of its financial
bailout and economic stimulus measures by selling in the open market
some of
its vast holdings of mortgage backed securities and Treasuries when the
economy
recovers faces the possibility of massive losses which could force the
central
bank to suspend annual payments of its profit to the Treasury for the
first time
since the 1930s.
The Fed is holding some $3 trillion in Treasuries as of
February 2013, and is adding about $85 billion a month to keep
interested rates
low and to provide liquidity to the market in an effort to keep
unemployment
from rising. In 2012, the Fed contributed $89 billion to the Treasury
to reduce
a significant portion of the government's borrowing and interests
costs.
But as
the Fed sells its holdings on economic recovery, the Fed must also
raise
interest rates to combat inflation, which will push down the market
value
of the
low-rate securities in its holding to cause significant financial loss.
A Fed analysis published in January 2013 which projects
interest rate at 3.8% later in the decade, show the Fed incurring a
record loss
of $40 billion which would force it to suspend payment ot the Treasury
for four
years beginning 2017. If interest rate rises another percentage point,
the
resultant loss would triple. This would put political pressure on the
independence of the Fed to set interest rates. Worse yet, if the Fed
fails to
pull its own weight and becomes an added burden to the public debt,
political
momentum to abolish the Fed will gain strength.
Central Bank
uses SPV to Hide Expansion of Balance Sheet
The Treasury's Troubled Assets
Relief Program (TARP) of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of
2008 would
finance the first $20 billion of troubles assets purchases by buying
distressed
debt in the NY Fed’s SPV. If more than $20 billion in assets are bought
by the SPV through TALF, the NY Fed will lend the additional money to
the SPV.
Since a loan is treated in accounting as an asset, the NY Fed, by
providing the
funds to buy distress debt, actually expands it balance sheet
positively while
its SPV assumes more liability.
SPV used to Skirt Basel II
Capital Requirements
In a May 14, 2002 AToL
article: The BIS vs National Banks, I
warned about Special Purpose Vehicles (SPV) five years before the
credit crisis
broke out in July 2007:
“While
Third World banks that do not meet BIS capital requirements are frozen
from the global interbank funds, BIS
rules have been eroded by so-called large, complex
banking organizations (LCBOs) in advanced economies through capital
arbitrage, which refers to strategies that
reduce a bank’s regulatory capital requirements
without a commensurate reduction in the bank’s risk exposures. One
example of such arbitrage is the sale, or
other shift-off, from the balance sheet, of assets
with economic capital allocations below regulatory capital
requirements, and the retention of those for which
regulatory requirements are less than the economic
capital burden.
“Aggregate regulatory capital
thus ends up being lower than the economic risks require; and although
regulatory capital ratios rise, they
are in effect merely meaningless
statistical artifacts. Risks never disappear; they are always passed
on. LCBOs in effect pass their unaccounted for
risks onto the global financial system. Thus
the fierce opponents of socialism have become the deft operators in the
socialization of risk while retaining
profits from such risk socialization in private hands.
“Set for 2004, implementation
of the new Basel II Capital Accord is meant to respond
to such regulatory erosion by LCBOs. “Synthetic securitization” refers
to structured transactions in which banks
use credit derivatives to transfer the credit risk
of a specified pool of assets to third parties, such as insurance
companies,
other banks, and unregulated
entities, known as Special Purpose Vehicles (SPV),
used widely by the likes of Enron and
GE. The transfer may be
either funded, for example, by
issuing credit-linked securities in tranches with various seniorities
(collateralized loan obligations
or CLOs)
or unfunded, for example, using credit default
swaps. Synthetic securitization can replicate the economic risk
transfer characteristics of securitization
without removing assets from the originating bank’s
balance sheet or recorded banking book exposures.
“Synthetic securitization may
also be used more flexibly than traditional securitization.
For example, to transfer the junior (first and second loss) element of
credit risk and retain a senior tranche; to
embed extra features such as leverage or
foreign currency payouts; and to package for sale the credit risk of a
portfolio (or
reference
portfolio) not originated by the bank. Banks may also exchange the
credit risk on parts of their portfolios
bilaterally without any issuance of rated notes
to the market.”
Low Wages Made Tolerable
With Consumer Debt
Instead of being made aware of have been trapped in an
unsustainable high-speed debt joy ride in a housing price bubble that
would end
badly for both borrowers and creditors, US wage earners were misled to
think
they had found new financial paradise on earth in a new wonderful age
of credit
miracle that made them financially more sophisticated and better off
than their
conservative thrifty parents.
Easy credit released by central bank loose monetary policy
provided low-wage earners with ample debt money to live in bigger and
better-equipped homes, to drive larger and faster cars, take exotic
jet-set
vacations, and to put their children through college with student loans
that
only needed to be paid back with the student's post-graduation
salaries, all achieved
by tapping into the regularly increasing size of the mortgages on their
homes,
the biggest leveraged asset in the average family's financial
portfolio, the
expected rising market price of which would allow already highly
leveraged
borrower/owners to take out additional cash by taking .on additional
debt
through cash-out equity refinancing that put additional spendable cash
in their
bank accounts without altering the conservative debt to equity ratio of
the
outstanding mortgage. This joy ride of the
mortgage debt bubble was expected to go on forever with ample liquidity
expected to be released by an accommodating central bank to keep the
housing
bubbles expanding forever without causing inflation.
The cash-out proceeds from refinanced equity loans were used
by home owners to pay for the good life. The refinancing was supported
by the
rising market price of the mortgaged homes, pushing the indebtedness
way beyond
the ability of the borrower's wage income to meet interest and
amortization
payments.
Home equity refinance became a huge Ponzi scheme to pay the
cash-outs with the proceeds of new additional debt based on anticipated
further
rise in the market price of the mortgaged home in a gigantic real
estate price
bubble created by central bank loose-money monetary policy that treated
real
estate market price increase as desirable economic growth and treated
wage
increases as undesirable cause of inflation. Mortgage-backed securities
because
the largest component in the structured finance market and the main
driving
factor in economic expansion while wages remained stagnant.
US workers were getting debt-rich by simply watching their
homes bought with 100% debt, increase in price by 30% every years, so
that
after merely a few years of high-leverage home ownership, most of the
nation's
workers were living in homes with outstanding mortgages their stagnant
wages
could not possibly pay. For many wage earners, the home became a
private ATM
(Automatic Teller Machine) fed by refinanced mortgages that the owners'
wage
income alone could not service without more periodic recurring cash-out
equity
refinancing, with a good portions of the cash out proceed going to pay
for new
cars, exotic vacations, second and third homes bought with "no down
payment/no income verification" mortgages on the full purchase price
with
the expectation that the market value of the property will rise
perpetually to
justify a new Ponzi scheme of home ownership made possible with central
bank
monetary policy.
Chairman Greenspan of the Federal Reserve Board labeled the
phenomenon as the "wealth effect" of a growing real estate market
made possible by the Federal Reserve lax monetary policy under his
chairmanship.
For releasing the biggest debt bubble in history, Greenspan was revered
in Congressional
hearings as the new King Mida with the Golden Touch, instead of the
Wizard of
Bubbleland. (Please see my September 14, 2005 AToL series on Greenspan - Wizard of Bubbleland, written
two years before the debt bubble burst in mid July, 2007)
Wage Labor and Capital
Karl Marx (1818-1883) wrote Wage Labor and
Capital in 1847 which was
first published in April 1849 as a series of articles in Neue
Rheinische Zeitung, a German daily published by Marx in Cologne
between June 1, 1848 and May 19, 1849. This newspaper is regarded by
historians
as one of the most important dailies in Germany on the failed 1848
Democratic
Revolutions all over Europe.
The term
“capitalism” did not appear in the English speaking world until 1854,
seven
years after Marx wrote Wage Labor and Capital in 1847 while the term
communism was used in German by Karl Marx in 1848. Communism is a term
that
describes a socio-economic-legal-political system based on common
ownership of
property, particularly the means of production.
According to the Oxford English
Dictionary (OED), the term capitalism was first used by novelist
William Makepeace Thackeray in 1854 in The Newcomes, by whom he meant
those "having ownership of capital”. Also according to the OED, Carl
Adolph Douai, a German-American socialist and abolitionist, used the
term private
capitalism in 1863.
Modern capitalism
is the natural financial outcome from Calvinist precepts of thrift,
hard work
and savings. Protestant reformation in England provided the spiritual
framework
for the emergence of industry and the religious mindset from which rose
industrial capitalism.
Nowadays,
capitalism is the name given to a socio-economic system driven by the
desire
for and action of ceaseless production of more capital with capital
through the
market mechanism. The economics of captialism has morphed into the
economics of
the market, allowing behavior finance to take center position in
finance
capitalism. The old issues of industrial capitalism seem to have
reached a
stage of full maturity in which further breakthroughs are not expected
to come
forth. The economics of finance, particularly behavioral finance that
is
intermediated through the price system, seems to have attracted the
attention of
the brightest minds in economics.
Since World War II, the term "capitalism" has been
gradually displaced by the more benign label of the free market.
Capitalism
ceased to be mentioned in most economic literature. In the process,
economists
also squeezed out of official dialogues the word "capitalism", the
once traditional name for the market system, with its subjective
connotation of
class struggle between owners of capital, through their professional
managers,
and workers, through their trade and industrial unions, and with its
legitimization of the privileges that go with various levels of wealth.
The word "capitalism" no longer appears in textbooks for Economics
101. A Harvard economist, N Gregory Mankiw, author of a popular new
textbook, Principles
of Economics, told the New York Times: "We make a distinction now
between positive or descriptive statements that are scientifically
verifiable
and normative statements that reflect values and judgments." A whole
new
generation of economists have grown up thinking of "capitalism" only
as a historical term like "slavery", unreal in the modern world of
market fundamentalism.
In the afternoon of Wednesday November 2, 2011, nearly 70
Harvard student protesters walked out of Professor Mankiw's course:
Economics
10, expressing dissatisfaction with what they perceived to be an overly
conservative
bias in the course, in a show of support for the “Occupy Wall Street”
movement’s principal criticism that conservative economic policies have
increased income inequality in the United States and around the world.
“Harvard graduates have been complicit [and] have aided many
of the worst injustices of recent years. Today we fight that history,”
said
Rachel J. Sandalow-Ash, class of 2015, one of the students who
organized the
walkout. “Harvard students will not do that anymore. We will use our
education
for good, and not for personal gain at the expense of millions.”
Gabriel H.
Bayard, class of 2015, another organizer of the walk out, said that he
believes
the course is emblematic of the economic policies that have led the
financial
crisis.
“Ec 10 is a symbol of the larger economic ideology that
created the 2008 collapse. Professor Mankiw worked in the Bush
administration,
and he clearly has a conservative ideology,” Bayard said. “His
conservative
views are the kind that created the collapse of 2008. This easy money
focus on
enriching the wealthiest Americans—he really operates with that
ideology.”
Mankiw served as the chairman of the Council of Economic
Advisers during the second Bush Administration and was adviser to
former Mass. Governor Mitt Romney’s unsuccessful presidential campaign.
Mankiw
declined to
comment for the NY Times report.
Sandalow-Ash said that the course too heavily asserts
conservative economic claims as fact. “It’s a class that’s very
indoctrinating,
and does not encourage diversity of views. Economic questions are not
always
clear-cut. Multiple views should be presented in this course,”
Sandalow-Ash
said to the press.
Capital, when monetized in a national currency, is in essence sovereign
credit
from government. Capitalism in a money economy is a system of
government
credits. Thus a case can be made that in a capitalistic democracy,
access to
capital and credit should be available equally to all in accordance
with
national purpose and societal needs. The anti-statist posture of
neoliberalism
is not only logically flawed, but its glorification of a private-debt
economy
will inevitably lead to self-destruction of the economy.
February 25, 2013
Next:The
Industrial Revolution and Wage Labor
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